TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
kalshi
polymarket

What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Volume:
$28,690

The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 14, 2026

Closed: Apr 13, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$12,165
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

The Truth and Tragedy of Moriah Wilson

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,722
N/A
N/A
$3,518
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Anaconda

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,982
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Anaconda

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,038
N/A
N/A
$1,955
Settled
No
polymarket

Thrash

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,855
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Striking Distance

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$778
N/A
N/A
$778
Settled
No
polymarket

Beast

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$724
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$701
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Untold: The Death & Life of Lamar Odom

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$525
N/A
N/A
$522
Settled
No
polymarket

Untold: The Death & Life of Lamar Odom

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$140
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

28 Years Later: The Bone Temple

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$281
N/A
N/A
$281
Settled
No
polymarket

Madagascar

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$230
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Madagascar

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

IF

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$194
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

KPop Demon Hunters

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$150
N/A
N/A
$150
Settled
No
polymarket

Black and Blue

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Black and Blue

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Clika

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
No
kalshi

Minions: The Rise of Gru

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

The Bad Guys 2

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie A

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie B

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie C

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie D

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie E

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 32

Description

This event group predicts which movie will rank #2 on Netflix's global Top 10 movies chart for the week ending April 14, 2026. Both platforms resolve based on Netflix's official ranking published on April 14, 2026, at 3:00 PM ET, measuring total global views for English-language movies only.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi defines a closed set of 11 candidate movies with no explicit catch-all, while Polymarket provides 21 individual candidates plus an "Other" option and a defined fallback ("Other" if Netflix update is delayed past April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET). This creates resolution ambiguity if the actual #2 movie falls outside Kalshi's candidate list.Hero tip: Before settlement, cross-check the actual #2 movie against Kalshi's 11-movie list. If it matches, both platforms resolve consistently. If it does not match, Kalshi's resolution is undefined (likely NO to all options), while Polymarket resolves YES to "another movie" or "Other" depending on timing. Polymarket's explicit grace period and catch-all make it the more robust market for edge cases.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Closed-set resolution: YES if any of 11 named movies rank #2 on Netflix Top 10 Global Movie chart published April 14, 2026. No explicit catch-all or fallback if the actual #2 movie is not in the list. Quote: 'If [movie name] is #2 on the Netflix Top 10 Global Movie on the chart published on Apr 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Open-set resolution with catch-all: 21 individual YES/NO questions for named movies, plus a catch-all 'Will another movie be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?' option. Explicit fallback: if Netflix update does not occur by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, market resolves to 'Other'. Quote: 'If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to Other.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.