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What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
polymarket
kalshi

What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Volume:
$177,476

Louis Theroux: Inside The Manosphere

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 18, 2026

Closed: Mar 16, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Louis Theroux: Inside The Manosphere

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$92,943
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Louis Theroux: Inside The Manosphere

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13,625
N/A
N/A
$7,292
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jurassic World Rebirth

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,154
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jurassic World Rebirth

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,357
N/A
N/A
$1,856
Settled
No
polymarket

Nobody 2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,461
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

War Machine

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,917
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

War Machine

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$353
N/A
N/A
$353
Settled
No
polymarket

Kpop Demon Hunters

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,368
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

KPop Demon Hunters

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$781
N/A
N/A
$755
Settled
No
polymarket

Jobs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,609
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Deepwater Horizon

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$477
N/A
N/A
$477
Settled
No
kalshi

Trap House

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$318
N/A
N/A
$318
Settled
No
kalshi

Joe’s College Road Trip

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$99
N/A
N/A
$99
Settled
No
kalshi

Trolls

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
No
kalshi

Jurassic World

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

Jurassic World: Dominion

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie A

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie D

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie G

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie I

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie K

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie C

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie F

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 29

Description

This event group predicts which movie will rank #2 on Netflix's global Top 10 movies list for the week ending March 16, 2026, based on the official update published on March 17, 2026. Both platforms resolve against the same Netflix official data source and publication date, with Polymarket offering a catch-all 'Other' option and Kalshi listing specific movie candidates.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms use identical resolution criteria: the movie ranked #2 on Netflix's official Global Top 10 Movies chart published on March 17, 2026, based on total global views for English-language movies only.Primary resolution logic: Netflix official Global Top 10 Movies list published on top10.netflix.com on March 17, 2026, 3:00 PM ET

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is determined by the Netflix Global Top 10 Movies ranking published on March 17, 2026
  • The ranking reflects viewership data from the prior week (Monday March 10 through Sunday March 16, 2026)
  • Only English-language movies are included in the ranking
  • The movie in the #2 position on that official list is the resolution outcome
  • Exactly one movie will resolve to YES; all others resolve to NO

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Update Failure: If Netflix does not publish the update by March 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Polymarket resolves to 'Other'. Kalshi's resolution mechanism for this scenario is not explicitly stated in the source data.
  • Movie Title Variations: Kalshi lists specific movie titles (e.g., 'Jurassic World Rebirth', 'War Machine', 'KPop Demon Hunters') while Polymarket uses placeholder names (Movie A-K) and specific titles. Resolution matches the exact title as it appears on the Netflix official list.
  • Catch-All Option: Polymarket includes 'Will another movie be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?' as a catch-all for any movie not explicitly listed. Kalshi does not include a catch-all option.
Timing: Resolution occurs on March 17, 2026, at 3:00 PM ET when Netflix publishes the official Global Top 10 Movies list. If not published by March 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Polymarket resolves to 'Other'.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.