TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
What price will BNB hit in May?
Total volume:
$50,442
Volume 24h:
$4,959
13%
Liquidity:
$66,841
2%
Open interest:
$29,028
0%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group tracks whether BNB will reach or fall to specific price levels during May 2026. Kalshi offers eight binary markets on upside price targets ($650–$720), while Polymarket offers twelve markets covering both upside targets ($700–$1,100) and downside targets ($200–$600). Both platforms measure price movement on the BNB/USDT pair during the calendar month of May.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi omits explicit data source specification, while Polymarket mandates Binance 1-minute candles. Both measure May 2026 calendar month, but source ambiguity creates potential for exchange-rate divergence and settlement disputes.Hero Tip:
Treat Kalshi and Polymarket as separate resolution universes. Polymarket is deterministic (Binance 1m candles); Kalshi requires clarification. If trading both, hedge for the possibility that Kalshi resolves on a different exchange or aggregated price. Monitor Kalshi's official settlement announcement closely.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Eight upside-only markets ($650–$720). Resolves Yes if BNB price ever exceeds threshold through May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. No exchange or data source named. Quote: 'If the price of BNB after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on May 31, 2026 is ever above [threshold], then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Twelve markets: eight upside ($700–$1,100) and four downside ($200–$600). Resolves Yes if any Binance BNB/USDT 1-minute candle High (upside) or Low (downside) reaches threshold during May 1–31, 2026. Quote: 'This market will immediately resolve to Yes if any Binance 1 minute candle for BNB/USDT...has a final High/Low price equal to or [greater/lower] than the price specified.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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