TOTAL VOLUME:

$142.8b

24H VOL:

$102,639,054

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,660,434,525

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,604,186,899

483,972

Markets across

36,666

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,879

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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What price will Bitcoin hit in March?
polymarket
kalshi

What price will Bitcoin hit in March?

Volume:
$101,604,832

↓ 65,000

 - Polymarket

↓ 65,000 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 1, 2026

Closed: Apr 1, 12:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

↓ 65,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,122,349
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ 70,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,801,388
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $75,000.00

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$312,673
N/A
N/A
$107,038
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ 75,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $70,000.00

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$126,351
N/A
N/A
$94,375
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $72,500.00

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$96,745
N/A
N/A
$73,803
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ 150,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,149,353
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ 80,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,681,375
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $80,000.00

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$474,065
N/A
N/A
$205,977
Settled
No
polymarket

↓ 60,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,334,706
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↓ 55,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,531,628
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ 90,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,327,307
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ 100,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,676,221
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ 85,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,542,102
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $85,000.00

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$140,763
N/A
N/A
$54,054
Settled
No
polymarket

↓ 50,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,295,129
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ 110,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,808,215
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ 95,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,735,132
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↓ 20,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,150,011
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ 105,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,895,945
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↓ 45,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,698,311
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↓ 40,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,089,569
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↓ 35,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,708,798
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↓ 25,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,314,840
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↓ 30,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$691,926
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 28

Description

These markets collectively assess whether Bitcoin will reach or dip to specific price levels during March 2026, using Binance BTC/USDT as the authoritative price feed. The markets span a wide range from $20,000 to $150,000, allowing traders to express granular views on Bitcoin's volatility and directional movement during the month.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi diverge on resolution source and scope. Polymarket uses Binance 1-minute candle High/Low prices as the exclusive resolution source, while Kalshi uses a broader 'price of BTC' reference without specifying exchange or timeframe granularity, creating potential for different outcomes if prices differ across venues or timeframes.Hero tip: If you trade these markets across both platforms, be aware that a price movement on Binance 1-minute candles may not match Kalshi's resolution if Kalshi's source (likely a broader index or different exchange) shows a different price at the same moment. Lock in your positions on the platform with the most favorable odds, but understand the settlement may diverge.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Outlier: Resolves based exclusively on Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle High prices (for upside targets) or Low prices (for downside targets), with strict temporal scope from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last day of March. Key quote: 'The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on 1m for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.'
  • Kalshi: Outlier: Resolves based on 'the price of BTC' with no specified exchange, timeframe granularity, or data source, only a temporal scope through 11:59 PM ET on Mar 31, 2026. Key quote: 'If the price of BTC after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Mar 31, 2026 is ever above [threshold], then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.