TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC
Volume:
$481,222
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the A-League soccer match between Western Sydney Wanderers FC and Wellington Phoenix FC scheduled for February 13, 2026. The markets track three possible outcomes: a Wellington win, a Western Sydney win, or a draw, all evaluated within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is logically contradictory and unresolvable: it specifies that Yes resolution occurs if Wellington wins, OR if Western Sydney wins, OR if a tie occurs—covering all possible outcomes. Polymarket provides three separate, mutually exclusive binary markets with coherent resolution criteria.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market is fundamentally broken and should not be traded. Use Polymarket's three binary markets instead: one for draw, one for Western Sydney win, one for Wellington win. These are logically sound and mutually exclusive. Note Polymarket's asymmetric cancellation logic: draw resolves Yes if canceled, but win markets resolve No if canceled.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Specifies three separate Yes-resolution conditions: 'If Wellington wins...then Yes', 'If Western Sydney wins...then Yes', 'If Tie...then Yes'. This covers all possible match outcomes, making every result a Yes resolution. The market is logically incoherent and unresolvable.
- Polymarket: Provides three separate binary markets: (1) Draw market resolves Yes if match ends in draw, No otherwise; (2) Western Sydney market resolves Yes if Western Sydney wins, No otherwise; (3) Wellington market resolves Yes if Wellington wins, No otherwise. All three markets reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Cancellation logic: draw market resolves Yes if canceled entirely; win markets resolve No if canceled entirely.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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