TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC
kalshi
polymarket

Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC

Volume:
$481,222

Tie

 - Kalshi

Tie - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 13, 2026

Closed: Feb 13, 6:35 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
-$314
$95,521
N/A
N/A
$62,625
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Wellington

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$349
$133,621
N/A
N/A
$83,046
Settled
No
kalshi

Western Sydney Wanderers

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$10,774
$111,981
N/A
N/A
$48,773
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$33,789
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Western Sydney Wanderers FC

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$72,497
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Wellington Phoenix FC

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,813
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the A-League soccer match between Western Sydney Wanderers FC and Wellington Phoenix FC scheduled for February 13, 2026. The markets track three possible outcomes: a Wellington win, a Western Sydney win, or a draw, all evaluated within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic is logically contradictory and unresolvable: it specifies that Yes resolution occurs if Wellington wins, OR if Western Sydney wins, OR if a tie occurs—covering all possible outcomes. Polymarket provides three separate, mutually exclusive binary markets with coherent resolution criteria.Hero tip: Kalshi's market is fundamentally broken and should not be traded. Use Polymarket's three binary markets instead: one for draw, one for Western Sydney win, one for Wellington win. These are logically sound and mutually exclusive. Note Polymarket's asymmetric cancellation logic: draw resolves Yes if canceled, but win markets resolve No if canceled.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Specifies three separate Yes-resolution conditions: 'If Wellington wins...then Yes', 'If Western Sydney wins...then Yes', 'If Tie...then Yes'. This covers all possible match outcomes, making every result a Yes resolution. The market is logically incoherent and unresolvable.
  • Polymarket: Provides three separate binary markets: (1) Draw market resolves Yes if match ends in draw, No otherwise; (2) Western Sydney market resolves Yes if Western Sydney wins, No otherwise; (3) Wellington market resolves Yes if Wellington wins, No otherwise. All three markets reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Cancellation logic: draw market resolves Yes if canceled entirely; win markets resolve No if canceled entirely.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.