TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Western Illinois Leathernecks vs. SIUE Cougars (W)
Volume:
$29,339
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Western Illinois Leathernecks and SIUE Cougars scheduled for February 26, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponements and cancellations.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket defines a binary team-selection market (winner determination), while Kalshi's logic resolves to Yes for both possible outcomes, suggesting either incomplete specification or a fundamentally different market type. This creates unresolvable ambiguity about what Kalshi's No condition actually is.Hero Tip:
Do not trade these markets as if they are equivalent. Polymarket traders are picking a winner; Kalshi's resolution logic as stated guarantees Yes regardless of outcome, which violates basic market design. Request clarification from Kalshi on the No resolution condition before taking positions.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-selection market. Resolves to the name of the winning team (Western Illinois Leathernecks or SIUE Cougars) based on final score including overtime. Cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Postponements keep market open until completion.
- Kalshi: Stated logic resolves to Yes if either team wins. No resolution condition is not specified in source data. Key Quote: 'If SIU Edwardsville wins...resolves to Yes. If Western Illinois wins...resolves to Yes.' This creates logical impossibility—both outcomes cannot both resolve Yes in a binary market.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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