A college basketball game between Western Illinois Leathernecks and SIUE Cougars scheduled for February 26, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET at SIU Edwardsville. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spread (-13.5 and -14.5), and total points over/under (133.5, 134.5, 135.5).
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both Western Illinois win and SIUE win resolve to Yes, leaving no valid No outcome. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as written.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline until the platform corrects the resolution logic. The market cannot settle because every possible game outcome maps to the same resolution. Polymarket moneyline and spread/total markets are logically sound and resolvable.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Moneyline market states both Western Illinois win and SIUE win resolve to Yes, with no defined No condition. This is a logical contradiction that prevents settlement. Quote: 'If Western Illinois wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If SIU Edwardsville wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to team name of winner (Western Illinois Leathernecks or SIUE Cougars). Spreads resolve based on margin of victory. Totals resolve based on combined score. All markets remain open if postponed; resolve 50-50 only if canceled with no makeup. Quote: 'If the Western Illinois Leathernecks win, the market will resolve to Western Illinois Leathernecks. If the SIUE Cougars win, the market will resolve to SIUE Cougars.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.