TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Western Illinois Leathernecks vs. North Carolina Tar Heels (W)
Volume:
$718,731
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the WBB game between Western Illinois Leathernecks and North Carolina Tar Heels on March 20 at 5:30 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi resolves YES for both possible outcomes (North Carolina win OR Western Illinois win), creating a logical contradiction where the market cannot resolve NO. Polymarket correctly resolves to a single winner (either Western Illinois or North Carolina), making it the only logically sound market in this group.Hero Tip:
Avoid betting on Kalshi's version of this market — it is fundamentally broken and will resolve YES regardless of the game outcome. Polymarket is the only reliable venue for this matchup, as it properly distinguishes between the two teams and resolves to exactly one winner.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Resolves YES if North Carolina wins OR if Western Illinois wins, meaning the market resolves YES for every possible outcome. This creates a logical impossibility where NO resolution is unreachable. Key quote: 'If North Carolina wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Western Illinois wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Resolves to exactly one winner — either 'Western Illinois Leathernecks' or 'North Carolina Tar Heels' — based on the final score of the March 20 game. Includes proper edge cases for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Key quote: 'If the Western Illinois Leathernecks win, the market will resolve to Western Illinois Leathernecks. If the North Carolina Tar Heels win, the market will resolve to North Carolina Tar Heels.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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