TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Western Carolina Catamounts vs. Mercer Bears
Volume:
$108,795
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Western Carolina Catamounts and Mercer Bears scheduled for March 7, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), spread betting (Mercer -1.5 and -2.5), and over/under total points across multiple thresholds.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Over/Under total points thresholds differ between Kalshi (12 granular thresholds from 138.5 to 171.5) and Polymarket (4 thresholds: 153.5, 154.5, 155.5, 156.5). Both use the same resolution principle (combined score must exceed threshold) but market granularity and coverage differ.Hero Tip:
If hedging total-points exposure across platforms, map your Kalshi positions to the nearest Polymarket threshold. For example, Kalshi 150.5 and 153.5 markets overlap with Polymarket 153.5. Confirm final score reporting from NCAA.com to avoid rounding disputes. Moneyline and spread markets are consistent—focus divergence concern on totals only.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Four over/under markets at thresholds 153.5, 154.5, 155.5, and 156.5. Over resolves if combined score is 154+, 155+, 156+, or 157+ respectively. Moneyline resolves to winner based on final score including overtime. Spreads (Mercer -1.5 and -2.5) resolve based on margin of victory. Source: NCAA.com.
- Kalshi: Twelve separate yes/no markets covering thresholds 138.5, 141.5, 144.5, 147.5, 150.5, 153.5, 156.5, 159.5, 162.5, 165.5, 168.5, and 171.5. Each resolves Yes if combined score exceeds the stated threshold. No moneyline or spread markets listed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.