TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
West Virginia Mountaineers vs. UCF Knights
Volume:
$2,065,929
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A men's college basketball game between West Virginia Mountaineers and UCF Knights scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET at UCF. Markets cover the moneyline winner, the spread (UCF -3.5), and the over/under total (138.5 points).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (West Virginia win and UCF win) resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket provides mutually exclusive resolution outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline. The market logic is broken and cannot distinguish between outcomes. Trade Polymarket's moneyline instead, which correctly resolves to either West Virginia Mountaineers or UCF Knights. Polymarket's spread and over/under markets are also logically sound.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states both West Virginia win and UCF win resolve to Yes, creating an unresolvable contradiction. No clear path to differentiate outcomes. Key Quote: 'If West Virginia wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If UCF wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Moneyline market provides clear binary resolution: West Virginia win resolves to West Virginia Mountaineers, UCF win resolves to UCF Knights. Spread and over/under markets are also logically coherent with defined edge cases. Key Quote: 'If the West Virginia Mountaineers win, the market will resolve to West Virginia Mountaineers. If the UCF Knights win, the market will resolve to UCF Knights.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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