TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Kansas State Wildcats
Volume:
$542,409
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A men's college basketball game between West Virginia Mountaineers and Kansas State Wildcats scheduled for March 3, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Multiple prediction markets cover the moneyline winner, point spread outcomes at different thresholds, and total points scored.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (WVU win and KSU win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Kalshi also omits edge-case handling for postponement and cancellation that Polymarket explicitly defines.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market. It is logically incoherent and will create settlement disputes. Trade Polymarket moneyline, spread, and total markets instead, which have clear, mutually exclusive outcomes and comprehensive edge-case rules.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states: If West Virginia wins, resolve to Yes. If Kansas State wins, resolve to Yes. This creates a logical contradiction where all outcomes resolve identically. No provisions for postponement or cancellation are mentioned.
- Polymarket: Moneyline market resolves to West Virginia Mountaineers if WVU wins, or Kansas State Wildcats if KSU wins—mutually exclusive outcomes. Spread markets (-1.5 and -2.5) resolve based on margin thresholds. Total markets (O/U 143.5 and 142.5) resolve based on combined points. All markets include explicit rules: postponement keeps market open until completion; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Final score includes overtime.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.