This event group covers a men's college basketball game between West Georgia Wolves and Central Arkansas Bears scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spread (-11.5 and -10.5), and over/under totals (151.5 and 153.5 points).
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (West Georgia win and Central Arkansas win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's moneyline correctly maps outcomes to mutually exclusive resolutions.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's moneyline; it cannot be settled. All spread and total markets on both platforms are logically sound and use identical edge-case handling (postponement keeps market open, cancellation resolves 50-50). Focus trading activity on Polymarket's moneyline and both platforms' derivative markets.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Moneyline market resolves to Yes for both West Georgia win and Central Arkansas win outcomes. This creates a logical impossibility: the market cannot resolve to No under any game result. Key Quote: 'If West Georgia wins the West Georgia at Central Arkansas men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Central Arkansas wins the West Georgia at Central Arkansas men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Polymarket: Moneyline market resolves to 'West Georgia Wolves' if West Georgia wins, or 'Central Arkansas Bears' if Central Arkansas wins. Outcomes are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. Key Quote: 'If the West Georgia Wolves win, the market will resolve to "West Georgia Wolves". If the Central Arkansas Bears win, the market will resolve to "Central Arkansas Bears".'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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