TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Washington Huskies vs. Oregon Ducks
Volume:
$1,073,556
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the NCAA Division I Men's College Basketball game between the Washington Huskies and Oregon Ducks scheduled for March 7, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spread, and over/under total points wagering across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Oregon win and Washington win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's moneyline is logically sound with mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's moneyline market. It cannot be settled as written. Use Polymarket's moneyline for any winner-pick exposure. Spread and over/under markets on both platforms are consistent and resolvable.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market resolves to Yes for both Oregon win and Washington win outcomes. This is a logical contradiction that makes settlement impossible. Quote: 'If Oregon wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Washington wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Moneyline market resolves to 'Washington Huskies' if Washington wins or 'Oregon Ducks' if Oregon wins. Mutually exclusive outcomes with clear settlement logic. Quote: 'If the Washington Huskies win, the market will resolve to Washington Huskies. If the Oregon Ducks win, the market will resolve to Oregon Ducks.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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