TOTAL VOLUME:

$139.4b

24H VOL:

$152,239,259

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,540,891,627

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,622,981,384

471,589

Markets across

36,389

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,918

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Warriors vs. Pistons
kalshi
polymarket

Warriors vs. Pistons

Volume:
$9,012,288

Detroit

 - Kalshi

Detroit - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 21, 2026

Closed: Mar 20, 10:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Detroit

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,430,493
N/A
N/A
$1,534,649
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -6.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$787,844
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$705,699
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$302,205
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H O/U 105.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,425
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H O/U 104.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,166
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Caris LeVert: Assists O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,463
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,330
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Gui Santos: Assists O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$851
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$641
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 12.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$393
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Gui Santos: Points O/U 12.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$341
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draymond Green: Assists O/U 4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$308
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$299
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Tobias Harris: Assists O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$290
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$211
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Daniss Jenkins: Points O/U 12.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$211
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$205
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

De'Anthony Melton: Rebounds O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$99
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Daniss Jenkins: Assists O/U 6.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$89
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Warriors vs. Pistons

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,622,454
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Golden State

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,437,555
N/A
N/A
$838,708
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 217.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$380,117
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 218.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$163,863
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 216.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$149,144
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 42

Description

This market resolves based on the outcome of the Golden State Warriors vs. Detroit Pistons NBA game scheduled for March 20, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET in Detroit. The winner is determined by the final score including any overtime periods, with specific provisions for postponement and cancellation scenarios.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market resolves YES for ANY outcome (either team winning), making it logically incoherent and fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures mutually exclusive outcomes (Warriors vs. Pistons moneyline, spreads, totals, and player props) with proper resolution criteria.Hero tip: Avoid the Kalshi moneyline market entirely — it is broken and will resolve YES regardless of the game result. All player prop and spread markets on Polymarket are resolvable and use consistent NBA box score sources; use those for settlement confidence.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's moneyline market (items 1-2) states 'If Detroit wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Golden State wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical contradiction where every possible outcome resolves YES, violating basic market design. The market is unresolvable.
  • Polymarket: Aligned with standard market logic: Polymarket structures the moneyline as a mutually exclusive choice ('If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to Warriors. If the Pistons win, the market will resolve to Pistons.'), with clear tie-breaking and postponement rules. All 46 player prop markets use consistent NBA.com box score sources and include inactive-player clauses.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.