TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Warriors vs. Clippers
Volume:
$13,973,852
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 12 at 8:30PM ET: If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Warriors". If the Clippers win, the market will resolve to "Clippers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market resolves YES for both Warriors and Clippers wins, creating a logical contradiction where every outcome resolves YES. Polymarket's markets use standard binary or ternary resolution logic with mutually exclusive outcomes. This makes Kalshi's market fundamentally unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Avoid betting on Kalshi's moneyline market (items 1-2). The resolution criteria state both teams' wins trigger YES, meaning the market cannot distinguish between outcomes. All other markets (spreads, totals, player props, first-half markets) on both platforms use coherent, mutually exclusive logic and can be safely traded.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Contains a critical logical flaw in the moneyline market. Items 1-2 state 'If Los Angeles C wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Golden State wins... then the market resolves to Yes,' making every outcome resolve YES and rendering the market unresolvable. All other Kalshi markets (spreads, totals, player props) are not present in the provided data, so only the moneyline is auditable.
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard prediction market logic: All 58 markets use mutually exclusive, coherent resolution criteria. Moneyline resolves to either 'Warriors' or 'Clippers' (items 2-3). Spreads resolve to 'Clippers' if threshold met, otherwise 'Warriors' (items 4-25). Totals resolve to 'Over' or 'Under' based on combined score (items 12-27). Player props resolve to 'Yes' or 'No' based on individual stat thresholds (items 28-75). First-half markets mirror full-game logic (items 18-27). All outcomes are mutually exclusive and resolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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