TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Wagner Seahawks vs. St. Francis (PA) Red Flash
Volume:
$196,702
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Wagner Seahawks and St. Francis (PA) Red Flash scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), spread (-1.5), and multiple over/under total points variations (149.5, 150.5, 151.5, 152.5, 153.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (St. Francis win and Wagner win) resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically consistent and properly structured.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline. The resolution logic is broken and cannot distinguish between outcomes. Use Polymarket for reliable moneyline, spread, and total markets. Verify game completion status before any settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to Wagner Seahawks if they win, St. Francis (PA) Red Flash if they win. Spread market resolves to Wagner if they win by 2+ points, otherwise St. Francis. Over/Under markets resolve based on combined score thresholds (149.5, 150.5, 151.5, 152.5, 153.5). All use final score including overtime. Postponement keeps markets open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Key Quote: The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
- Kalshi: Moneyline market contains critical logical error. States: If St. Francis (PA) wins, resolves to Yes. If Wagner wins, resolves to Yes. Both outcomes map to the same resolution (Yes), eliminating binary distinction. No resolution logic provided for No outcome. Key Quote: Both conditional branches resolve to Yes, creating tautology.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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