This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Wagner Seahawks and Chicago State Cougars scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the outcome of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Wagner win and Chicago State win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.
Hero Tip:
Avoid trading on Kalshi until the platform clarifies whether the market should be binary (Yes/No) or if the resolution text is a template error. Polymarket's market is logically sound and can be traded with confidence. This divergence represents a critical platform defect on Kalshi, not a legitimate difference in settlement criteria.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Binary outcome market with clear mutually exclusive resolutions. Wagner win resolves to Wagner Seahawks; Chicago State win resolves to Chicago State Cougars. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
Kalshi: Defective resolution logic mapping both possible outcomes to Yes. Both Wagner win and Chicago State win are stated to resolve to Yes, creating logical impossibility. This appears to be a template error or drafting failure rather than intentional market design.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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