TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Virginia Cavaliers vs. TCU Horned Frogs (W)
Volume:
$1,093,990
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market resolves based on the outcome of the Virginia Cavaliers vs. TCU Horned Frogs women's college basketball game scheduled for March 28, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET. The winner of the game determines the market resolution, with the final score including any overtime periods as the authoritative result.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi resolves YES for both possible outcomes (Virginia wins OR TCU wins), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly resolves to a single winner (Virginia Cavaliers or TCU Horned Frogs) based on game outcome.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market. Kalshi's resolution rules state the market resolves YES if either team wins, which is logically impossible for a binary market. Polymarket's market is tradeable and resolves to exactly one winner based on final score.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Outlier: Polymarket correctly resolves to a single outcome — Virginia Cavaliers if Virginia wins, TCU Horned Frogs if TCU wins, with clear tie-breaking (overtime included, postponement keeps market open, cancellation resolves 50-50). Key quote: 'If the Virginia Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to Virginia Cavaliers. If the TCU Horned Frogs win, the market will resolve to TCU Horned Frogs.'
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi contains a critical logical error — both resolution rules resolve to YES regardless of outcome. Rule 1: 'If TCU wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' Rule 2: 'If Virginia wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' This makes the market unresolvable because every possible game outcome triggers a YES resolution.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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