TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Virginia Cavaliers vs. Stanford Cardinal (W)
Volume:
$267,574
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of the Virginia Cavaliers vs. Stanford Cardinal women's college basketball game scheduled for February 15, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET at Stanford. The market resolves based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement and cancellation scenarios.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is internally contradictory, stating both Virginia win and Stanford win resolve to Yes, which violates binary market logic. Polymarket uses standard categorical resolution (Virginia Cavaliers vs Stanford Cardinal). This creates fundamental unresolvability on Kalshi.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi until this is clarified with support. The market as documented cannot function. Polymarket is the reliable reference for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Claims both Virginia win and Stanford win resolve to Yes. This is logically impossible for a binary market and suggests either documentation error or market misconfiguration. Quote: 'If Virginia wins...resolves to Yes. If Stanford wins...resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Standard categorical resolution: Virginia win resolves to Virginia Cavaliers, Stanford win resolves to Stanford Cardinal. Includes postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split) provisions. Quote: 'If the Virginia Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to Virginia Cavaliers. If the Stanford Cardinal win, the market will resolve to Stanford Cardinal.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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