TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Virginia Cavaliers vs. Louisville Cardinals (W)
polymarket
kalshi

Virginia Cavaliers vs. Louisville Cardinals (W)

Volume:
$406,159

Virginia

 - Kalshi

Virginia - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 22, 2026

Virginia at Louisville Winner?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Virginia

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$233,504
0%
0%
$132,289
N/A
polymarket

Virginia Cavaliers vs. Louisville Cardinals (W)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,560
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Louisville

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$168,095
0%
0%
$112,892
N/A
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers the women's college basketball game between the Virginia Cavaliers and Louisville Cardinals scheduled for February 22, 2026. The market resolves based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponements and cancellations.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution criteria contains a logical contradiction where both Virginia winning and Louisville winning resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as written. Polymarket provides clear, mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero tip: Avoid trading on Kalshi until the platform clarifies whether the Louisville outcome should resolve to No or if there is an unstated third resolution path. Polymarket is the reliable reference for this event.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary outcome: Virginia win resolves to Virginia Cavaliers, Louisville win resolves to Louisville Cardinals. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Final score including overtime determines result.
  • Kalshi: Both Virginia win and Louisville win are stated to resolve to Yes, creating a logical impossibility. Quote: 'If Virginia wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Louisville wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' No resolution path for a Louisville victory is logically distinct.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.