TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Virginia Cavaliers vs. Louisville Cardinals (W)
Volume:
$406,159
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between the Virginia Cavaliers and Louisville Cardinals scheduled for February 22, 2026. The market resolves based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponements and cancellations.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution criteria contains a logical contradiction where both Virginia winning and Louisville winning resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as written. Polymarket provides clear, mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading on Kalshi until the platform clarifies whether the Louisville outcome should resolve to No or if there is an unstated third resolution path. Polymarket is the reliable reference for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary outcome: Virginia win resolves to Virginia Cavaliers, Louisville win resolves to Louisville Cardinals. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Final score including overtime determines result.
- Kalshi: Both Virginia win and Louisville win are stated to resolve to Yes, creating a logical impossibility. Quote: 'If Virginia wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Louisville wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' No resolution path for a Louisville victory is logically distinct.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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