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Virginia Cavaliers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes (W)
kalshi
polymarket

Virginia Cavaliers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes (W)

Volume:
$8,795,237

Virginia

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 24, 2026

Closed: Mar 23, 4:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Virginia

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,759,118
N/A
N/A
$1,832,962
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Virginia Cavaliers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes (W)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$101,116
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Iowa

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,935,003
N/A
N/A
$2,060,020
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event is for the WBB game between Virginia Cavaliers and Iowa Hawkeyes on March 23 at 2:00 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi resolves YES for either outcome (Iowa wins OR Virginia wins), making it a binary confirmation market, while Polymarket resolves to a specific winner (Virginia Cavaliers or Iowa Hawkeyes), making it a winner-determination market. The platforms use fundamentally different resolution scopes.Hero tip: If you bet YES on Kalshi, you win regardless of which team wins the game—Kalshi is essentially betting that the game happens. On Polymarket, you must pick the correct winner. Do not confuse these: Kalshi is a game-occurrence market; Polymarket is a winner-pick market.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Resolves YES if either Iowa wins OR Virginia wins the game. This is a binary confirmation market with no winner differentiation. Key quote: 'If Iowa wins the Virginia at Iowa women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Virginia wins the Virginia at Iowa women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Outlier: Resolves to a specific winner—either 'Virginia Cavaliers' or 'Iowa Hawkeyes'—based on which team wins. This is a winner-determination market. Key quote: 'If the Virginia Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to Virginia Cavaliers. If the Iowa Hawkeyes win, the market will resolve to Iowa Hawkeyes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.