TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Virginia Cavaliers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes (W)
Volume:
$8,795,237
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the WBB game between Virginia Cavaliers and Iowa Hawkeyes on March 23 at 2:00 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi resolves YES for either outcome (Iowa wins OR Virginia wins), making it a binary confirmation market, while Polymarket resolves to a specific winner (Virginia Cavaliers or Iowa Hawkeyes), making it a winner-determination market. The platforms use fundamentally different resolution scopes.Hero Tip:
If you bet YES on Kalshi, you win regardless of which team wins the game—Kalshi is essentially betting that the game happens. On Polymarket, you must pick the correct winner. Do not confuse these: Kalshi is a game-occurrence market; Polymarket is a winner-pick market.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Resolves YES if either Iowa wins OR Virginia wins the game. This is a binary confirmation market with no winner differentiation. Key quote: 'If Iowa wins the Virginia at Iowa women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Virginia wins the Virginia at Iowa women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Outlier: Resolves to a specific winner—either 'Virginia Cavaliers' or 'Iowa Hawkeyes'—based on which team wins. This is a winner-determination market. Key quote: 'If the Virginia Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to Virginia Cavaliers. If the Iowa Hawkeyes win, the market will resolve to Iowa Hawkeyes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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