TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$129,159,707

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,442,132,418

404,744

Markets across

30,489

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,691

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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VfL Bochum vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern
polymarket
kalshi

VfL Bochum vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern

Volume:
$62,589

VfL Bochum

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 8, 2026

Closed: Mar 7, 2:30 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

VfL Bochum

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$31,595
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Bochum

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,394
N/A
N/A
$3,171
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kaiserslautern

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,405
N/A
N/A
$8,809
Settled
No
polymarket

1. FC Kaiserslautern

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,112
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (VfL Bochum vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,546
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,538
N/A
N/A
$1,178
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a Bundesliga 2 (German second division) soccer match between VfL Bochum and 1. FC Kaiserslautern scheduled for March 7, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi assess the outcome after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with three possible results: Bochum win, Kaiserslautern win, or draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket uses three separate binary markets with asymmetric cancellation rules (draw resolves YES, wins resolve NO if canceled), while Kalshi uses a single three-outcome market with no explicit cancellation clause, creating structural incompatibility in edge case handling.Hero tip: Monitor Kalshi's official cancellation policy. If Kalshi treats a canceled match differently than Polymarket (e.g., resolves TIE to YES instead of NO), this creates a hedging opportunity. Lock in positions on the more favorable platform before match day.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three independent binary markets (Draw YES/NO, Bochum Win YES/NO, Kaiserslautern Win YES/NO). Cancellation with no makeup: Draw market resolves YES, both win markets resolve NO. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (draw) and 'this market will resolve No' (wins).
  • Kalshi: Single market with three mutually exclusive outcomes (Bochum wins, Kaiserslautern wins, Tie). No explicit cancellation clause provided. Ambiguous how a canceled match maps to the three outcomes. Quote: 'If Tie wins the Bochum vs Kaiserslautern professional Bundesliga 2 soccer game originally scheduled for Mar 7, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.