TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
VfL Bochum vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern
Volume:
$62,589
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Bundesliga 2 (German second division) soccer match between VfL Bochum and 1. FC Kaiserslautern scheduled for March 7, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi assess the outcome after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with three possible results: Bochum win, Kaiserslautern win, or draw.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket uses three separate binary markets with asymmetric cancellation rules (draw resolves YES, wins resolve NO if canceled), while Kalshi uses a single three-outcome market with no explicit cancellation clause, creating structural incompatibility in edge case handling.Hero Tip:
Monitor Kalshi's official cancellation policy. If Kalshi treats a canceled match differently than Polymarket (e.g., resolves TIE to YES instead of NO), this creates a hedging opportunity. Lock in positions on the more favorable platform before match day.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three independent binary markets (Draw YES/NO, Bochum Win YES/NO, Kaiserslautern Win YES/NO). Cancellation with no makeup: Draw market resolves YES, both win markets resolve NO. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (draw) and 'this market will resolve No' (wins).
- Kalshi: Single market with three mutually exclusive outcomes (Bochum wins, Kaiserslautern wins, Tie). No explicit cancellation clause provided. Ambiguous how a canceled match maps to the three outcomes. Quote: 'If Tie wins the Bochum vs Kaiserslautern professional Bundesliga 2 soccer game originally scheduled for Mar 7, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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