TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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VfB Stuttgart vs. SC Freiburg
kalshi
polymarket

VfB Stuttgart vs. SC Freiburg

Volume:
$1,481,836

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 24, 2026

Closed: Apr 23, 5:45 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$131,815
N/A
N/A
$63,506
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (VfB Stuttgart vs. SC Freiburg)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$130,975
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Stuttgart

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$354,368
N/A
N/A
$258,800
Settled
No
polymarket

VfB Stuttgart

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$251,543
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Freiburg

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$313,259
N/A
N/A
$171,891
Settled
No
polymarket

SC Freiburg

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$299,876
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event is for the upcoming DFB-Pokal game, scheduled for Thursday, April 23, 2026 between VfB Stuttgart and SC Freiburg.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket defines three mutually exclusive binary markets (Stuttgart win, Draw, Freiburg win) where exactly one resolves YES, while Kalshi defines a single market where ALL three outcomes (Stuttgart win, Freiburg win, or Tie) resolve to YES. This is a logical contradiction that makes Kalshi's market fundamentally unresolvable.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi market. It contains a fatal logical flaw: all three possible match outcomes are coded to resolve YES, making it impossible to determine a single resolution state. Polymarket's three-market structure is logically sound and resolvable. If forced to choose, trade only Polymarket.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets covering all mutually exclusive outcomes: Stuttgart Win (YES if Stuttgart wins, NO otherwise), Draw (YES if draw, NO otherwise), Freiburg Win (YES if Freiburg wins, NO otherwise). Exactly one market will resolve YES. Resolution source: DFB official statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours post-match. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
  • Kalshi: Single market with three resolution conditions: 'If Freiburg wins...then YES', 'If Stuttgart wins...then YES', 'If Tie wins...then YES'. This creates a logical impossibility where the market resolves YES regardless of the match outcome, violating basic binary market semantics. No resolution source specified.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.