TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
VfB Stuttgart vs. SC Freiburg
Volume:
$1,481,836
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming DFB-Pokal game, scheduled for Thursday, April 23, 2026 between VfB Stuttgart and SC Freiburg.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket defines three mutually exclusive binary markets (Stuttgart win, Draw, Freiburg win) where exactly one resolves YES, while Kalshi defines a single market where ALL three outcomes (Stuttgart win, Freiburg win, or Tie) resolve to YES. This is a logical contradiction that makes Kalshi's market fundamentally unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. It contains a fatal logical flaw: all three possible match outcomes are coded to resolve YES, making it impossible to determine a single resolution state. Polymarket's three-market structure is logically sound and resolvable. If forced to choose, trade only Polymarket.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets covering all mutually exclusive outcomes: Stuttgart Win (YES if Stuttgart wins, NO otherwise), Draw (YES if draw, NO otherwise), Freiburg Win (YES if Freiburg wins, NO otherwise). Exactly one market will resolve YES. Resolution source: DFB official statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours post-match. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
- Kalshi: Single market with three resolution conditions: 'If Freiburg wins...then YES', 'If Stuttgart wins...then YES', 'If Tie wins...then YES'. This creates a logical impossibility where the market resolves YES regardless of the match outcome, violating basic binary market semantics. No resolution source specified.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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