TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Vermont Catamounts vs. UMBC Retrievers
kalshi
polymarket

Vermont Catamounts vs. UMBC Retrievers

Volume:
$2,657,085

UMBC

 - Kalshi

UMBC - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 17, 2026

Closed: Feb 19, 9:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

UMBC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,284,291
N/A
N/A
$763,909
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Vermont

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,048,445
N/A
N/A
$756,140
Settled
No
polymarket

Vermont Catamounts vs. UMBC Retrievers

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$316,053
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,023
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 141.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,273
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group covers a men's college basketball game between the Vermont Catamounts and UMBC Retrievers scheduled for February 19, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), point spread (-1.5 Vermont), and total points (O/U 141.5).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi moneyline contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (UMBC win and Vermont win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket moneyline is logically sound.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline - it cannot be settled correctly. Use Polymarket moneyline for winner bets. Spread and total markets are consistent across both platforms and safe to trade.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline market contains internal contradiction: 'If UMBC wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Vermont wins... resolves to Yes'. This violates binary logic and makes settlement impossible. Key Quote: Both outcomes explicitly map to Yes.
  • Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to Vermont Catamounts or UMBC Retrievers based on winner - standard binary logic. Spread resolves based on margin (Vermont -1.5). Total resolves Over/Under 141.5. All three markets handle postponement (remain open) and cancellation (50-50) consistently. Key Quote: 'If the Vermont Catamounts win, the market will resolve to Vermont Catamounts. If the UMBC Retrievers win, the market will resolve to UMBC Retrievers.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.