TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Vermont Catamounts vs. Louisville Cardinals (W)
Volume:
$1,436,261
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the WBB game between Vermont Catamounts and Louisville Cardinals on March 21 at 12:00 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi resolves YES for both possible outcomes (Vermont win OR Louisville win), creating a logical contradiction where the market cannot resolve NO. Polymarket correctly resolves to a specific winner (Vermont Catamounts or Louisville Cardinals) based on game result, with a 50-50 cancellation clause. This makes Kalshi's market fundamentally unresolvable and creates irreconcilable settlement logic between the two platforms.Hero Tip:
Do NOT trade on Kalshi's version of this market. Kalshi's rules state the market resolves YES if either team wins, which is logically impossible — every realistic game outcome triggers a YES resolution. Polymarket's market is the only tradeable version, as it correctly resolves to the actual winner. If you hold Kalshi positions, expect a settlement dispute or forced resolution to YES regardless of the actual game outcome.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Resolves YES if Louisville wins AND YES if Vermont wins, creating a logical contradiction where no outcome can resolve NO. Key quote: 'If Louisville wins the Vermont at Louisville women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Vermont wins the Vermont at Louisville women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Aligned with sound market logic: Resolves to the actual winner (Vermont Catamounts or Louisville Cardinals) based on final score including overtime, with a 50-50 cancellation clause if no make-up game occurs. Key quote: 'If the Vermont Catamounts win, the market will resolve to Vermont Catamounts. If the Louisville Cardinals win, the market will resolve to Louisville Cardinals. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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