TOTAL VOLUME:

$54.3b

24H VOL:

$198,896,558

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,191,591,877

500,572

Markets across

13,691

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,797

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

51%

VS.

Kalshi:

49%

BETA
Dashboards
kalshi
polymarket
Trending

VCU Rams vs. Richmond Spiders

Volume:
$630,111
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade

Description

This event group covers a men's college basketball game between VCU Rams and Richmond Spiders scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), point spread (VCU -7.5), and over/under totals (156.5 and 155.5 points).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue:

Kalshi moneyline contains a logical contradiction: both VCU and Richmond wins resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable to No. Additionally, Polymarket offers two distinct over/under markets with different thresholds (155.5 vs 156.5), creating potential arbitrage or confusion at the 156-point boundary.

Hero Tip:

Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline—it is fundamentally broken. On Polymarket, treat the 155.5 and 156.5 totals as separate instruments; they will diverge if the final combined score is exactly 156 points. Prioritize the spread and totals on Polymarket for reliable settlement.

Critical Divergence Points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline logic error: 'If VCU wins...resolves to Yes. If Richmond wins...resolves to Yes.' This creates no path to No resolution and violates binary market design. No edge-case handling for postponement or cancellation is specified.
  • Polymarket: Moneyline correctly specifies mutually exclusive outcomes (VCU Rams vs Richmond Spiders). Two separate over/under markets exist: O/U 156.5 (Over if 157+) and O/U 155.5 (Over if 156+). Both specify postponement handling (market remains open) and cancellation handling (50-50 split). Spread market resolves VCU if they win by 8+ points, otherwise Richmond.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.