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406,065

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VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini
polymarket
kalshi

VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini

Volume:
$9,779,733

Illinois wins by over 10.5 Points

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 22, 2026

Closed: Mar 21, 10:50 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Illinois wins by over 10.5 Points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,579,059
N/A
N/A
$845,791
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -10.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$281,306
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Illinois wins by over 13.5 Points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$746,165
N/A
N/A
$442,004
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -11.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$170,136
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Illinois wins by over 16.5 Points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$535,288
N/A
N/A
$306,155
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -16.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$59
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Illinois wins by over 19.5 Points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$260,468
N/A
N/A
$163,240
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -15.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$57
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Illinois wins by over 7.5 Points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$147,952
N/A
N/A
$67,723
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$42
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Illinois wins by over 4.5 Points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$40,789
N/A
N/A
$25,134
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -9.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Illinois wins by over 1.5 Points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,769
N/A
N/A
$7,199
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -12.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,198
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -18.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$345
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -20.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$310
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -19.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$270
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -13.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -17.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Illinois wins by over 22.5 Points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$193,313
N/A
N/A
$126,330
Settled
No
polymarket

VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,281,904
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 151.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$216,534
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 150.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$162,274
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Illinois wins by over 25.5 Points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$107,675
N/A
N/A
$62,197
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -23.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$270
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 36

Description

This event is for the CBB game between VCU Rams and Illinois Fighting Illini on March 21 at 12:00 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi use fundamentally different market structures for the same game. Polymarket offers moneyline, spread, and over/under markets with consistent thresholds, while Kalshi offers only binary spread-outcome markets with specific point-differential conditions that do not align with standard betting conventions.Hero tip: If you trade on both platforms, note that Polymarket's spread markets (e.g., Illinois -10.5 resolves YES if Illinois wins by 11+) follow standard sportsbook logic, whereas Kalshi's markets use non-standard thresholds (e.g., 'Illinois wins by more than 1.5 points' is a YES outcome). Arbitrage opportunities may exist if the same underlying game outcome is priced differently across platforms due to these structural differences.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers three market types (moneyline, spread, over/under) with standard sportsbook thresholds. Spread markets resolve YES if Illinois wins by N+1 points (e.g., -10.5 spread resolves YES if Illinois wins by 11 or more). Over/under markets resolve YES if combined score meets or exceeds the stated threshold plus one (e.g., O/U 153.5 resolves YES at 154+). Quote: 'This market will resolve to Illinois Fighting Illini if the Illinois Fighting Illini win the game by 11 or more points' (for -10.5 spread).
  • Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers only binary spread-outcome markets using non-standard point-differential thresholds that do not correspond to traditional spread betting. Markets resolve YES if either VCU wins by more than X points or Illinois wins by more than Y points, with thresholds including 1.5, 2.5, 4.5, 7.5, 10.5, 13.5, 16.5, 19.5, 22.5, and 25.5 points. Quote: 'If Illinois wins by more than 1.5 points in the VCU at Illinois men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.