TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers
Volume:
$23,763,320
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the CBB game between Vanderbilt Commodores and Nebraska Cornhuskers on March 21 at 12:00 AM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's monoline market resolves YES for any outcome (either team winning), making it logically incoherent and unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures mutually exclusive outcomes (Vanderbilt win vs. Nebraska win) and offers multiple derivative markets (spreads, totals) with consistent thresholds. Kalshi's binary market cannot coexist logically with any real-world result.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's monoline market (questions 1-2). It will resolve YES regardless of whether Vanderbilt or Nebraska wins, violating basic market logic. Trade only Polymarket's well-structured markets: the head-to-head (questions 1-2 on Polymarket), spreads, and totals. If you hold Kalshi YES, you will receive payout for any outcome, but this is a data integrity failure, not a legitimate arbitrage.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's monoline market states 'If Vanderbilt wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Nebraska wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This is a logical contradiction—both outcomes cannot both resolve YES. The market is unresolvable as written.
- Polymarket: Polymarket structures mutually exclusive outcomes: 'If Vanderbilt Commodores win, the market will resolve to Vanderbilt Commodores. If Nebraska Cornhuskers win, the market will resolve to Nebraska Cornhuskers.' Polymarket also offers 10 derivative markets (spreads at -1.5, -2.5, -3.5, -4.5 for each team; totals at 141.5, 143.5, 144.5, 145.5, 146.5, 148.5, 149.5, 151.5) with consistent, resolvable thresholds. All Polymarket markets reference the same underlying game (March 21, 8:45 PM ET) and final score including overtime.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.