This event group covers a professional MLS soccer match between Vancouver Whitecaps FC and Toronto FC scheduled for February 28, 2026. Markets span both match outcome (win/draw/loss) and total goals scored, with consistent focus on the 90-minute regulation period plus stoppage time.
Market type divergence (Over/Under goals vs. Match Result outcomes) combined with a logical inconsistency in Polymarket's draw market cancellation rule.
Hero Tip:
These markets serve different trading strategies and should not be hedged against each other. The Polymarket draw market's cancellation clause (resolves Yes if canceled) is non-standard and creates settlement risk. Request clarification from Polymarket before Feb 28, 2026.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Four independent Over/Under markets on combined goals: >1.5, >2.5, >3.5, >4.5. All reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time or penalties. Resolution is binary (Yes if threshold exceeded, No otherwise). Consistent logic across all four markets.
Polymarket: Three binary outcome markets: Vancouver Win, Draw, Toronto Win. All reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation resolves to No for Win markets but anomalously to Yes for Draw market. Key Quote on Draw: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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