TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$129,159,707

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,442,132,418

404,744

Markets across

30,489

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,691

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Toronto FC
kalshi
polymarket

Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Toronto FC

Volume:
$62,181

Vancouver Whitecaps FC

 - Polymarket

Vancouver Whitecaps FC - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 1, 2026

Closed: Feb 28, 9:30 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Vancouver Whitecaps FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$27,265
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 2.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,440
N/A
N/A
$4,664
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 1.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$642
N/A
N/A
$642
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Toronto FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,505
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Toronto FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,138
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 3.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,676
N/A
N/A
$1,829
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 4.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,515
N/A
N/A
$1,244
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event group covers a professional MLS soccer match between Vancouver Whitecaps FC and Toronto FC scheduled for February 28, 2026. Markets span both match outcome (win/draw/loss) and total goals scored, with consistent focus on the 90-minute regulation period plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Market type divergence (Over/Under goals vs. Match Result outcomes) combined with a logical inconsistency in Polymarket's draw market cancellation rule.Hero tip: These markets serve different trading strategies and should not be hedged against each other. The Polymarket draw market's cancellation clause (resolves Yes if canceled) is non-standard and creates settlement risk. Request clarification from Polymarket before Feb 28, 2026.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Four independent Over/Under markets on combined goals: >1.5, >2.5, >3.5, >4.5. All reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time or penalties. Resolution is binary (Yes if threshold exceeded, No otherwise). Consistent logic across all four markets.
  • Polymarket: Three binary outcome markets: Vancouver Win, Draw, Toronto Win. All reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation resolves to No for Win markets but anomalously to Yes for Draw market. Key Quote on Draw: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.