TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes
Volume:
$624,836
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Saturday, March 21, 2026 between Vancouver Whitecaps FC and San Jose Earthquakes.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket defines three mutually exclusive binary markets (Vancouver win, Draw, San Jose win) where exactly one resolves YES, while Kalshi defines three markets that all resolve YES simultaneously for any match outcome, creating a logical contradiction and making Kalshi's markets fundamentally unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's markets in this group. Kalshi's structure violates basic market logic by requiring all three outcome markets to resolve YES regardless of the actual match result. Polymarket's three binary markets are logically sound and mutually exclusive. If you hold Kalshi positions, expect resolution disputes or platform intervention.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard sports betting logic: Polymarket defines three mutually exclusive binary markets where exactly one outcome (Vancouver win, Draw, or San Jose win) will resolve YES and the other two resolve NO. All three markets share the same primary resolution source (official MLS statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours) and scope (90 minutes plus stoppage time only). Key quote: 'If Vancouver Whitecaps FC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' — and identical logic applies to the Draw and San Jose win markets.
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's market structure is logically incoherent. It defines three separate markets that each state 'if [outcome] wins...then the market resolves to Yes' for all three possible outcomes (San Jose win, Tie, Vancouver win), which means all three markets would resolve YES simultaneously regardless of the actual match result. This violates fundamental market logic and makes the markets unresolvable. Key quote: 'If San Jose wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Vancouver wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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