TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes
polymarket
kalshi

Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes

Volume:
$624,836

San Jose

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 22, 2026

Closed: Mar 22, 1:30 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

San Jose

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$199,003
N/A
N/A
$136,226
Settled
Yes
polymarket

San Jose Earthquakes

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$77,328
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Vancouver

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$176,837
N/A
N/A
$103,441
Settled
No
polymarket

Vancouver Whitecaps FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$92,535
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$66,452
N/A
N/A
$40,291
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,681
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Saturday, March 21, 2026 between Vancouver Whitecaps FC and San Jose Earthquakes.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket defines three mutually exclusive binary markets (Vancouver win, Draw, San Jose win) where exactly one resolves YES, while Kalshi defines three markets that all resolve YES simultaneously for any match outcome, creating a logical contradiction and making Kalshi's markets fundamentally unresolvable.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi's markets in this group. Kalshi's structure violates basic market logic by requiring all three outcome markets to resolve YES regardless of the actual match result. Polymarket's three binary markets are logically sound and mutually exclusive. If you hold Kalshi positions, expect resolution disputes or platform intervention.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Aligned with standard sports betting logic: Polymarket defines three mutually exclusive binary markets where exactly one outcome (Vancouver win, Draw, or San Jose win) will resolve YES and the other two resolve NO. All three markets share the same primary resolution source (official MLS statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours) and scope (90 minutes plus stoppage time only). Key quote: 'If Vancouver Whitecaps FC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' — and identical logic applies to the Draw and San Jose win markets.
  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's market structure is logically incoherent. It defines three separate markets that each state 'if [outcome] wins...then the market resolves to Yes' for all three possible outcomes (San Jose win, Tie, Vancouver win), which means all three markets would resolve YES simultaneously regardless of the actual match result. This violates fundamental market logic and makes the markets unresolvable. Key quote: 'If San Jose wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Vancouver wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.