TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Portland Timbers
Volume:
$734,104
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
Vancouver Whitecaps FC will face Portland Timbers in an MLS regular season match on April 4, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. This is a standard head-to-head soccer fixture where one team wins, the other loses, or the match ends in a draw.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket defines three mutually exclusive binary markets (Draw, Portland Win, Vancouver Win) that collectively cover all possible outcomes, while Kalshi defines three markets that each resolve YES for ANY outcome, making Kalshi's markets logically contradictory and fundamentally unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi markets in this group. Kalshi's three markets will all resolve YES simultaneously regardless of the match result, violating basic market logic. Polymarket's three markets are properly structured as mutually exclusive outcomes. Trade only on Polymarket for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Aligned with sound market design: Polymarket structures three mutually exclusive binary markets where exactly one resolves YES based on the match outcome (Draw YES/Portland NO/Vancouver NO, or Draw NO/Portland YES/Vancouver NO, or Draw NO/Portland NO/Vancouver YES). Each market uses the same primary resolution source: official MLS statistics within 2 hours or credible reporting consensus, and all three reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi defines three separate markets that each resolve YES if ANY of the three outcomes occurs (Tie, Vancouver, or Portland win). This creates a logical contradiction where all three markets must resolve YES simultaneously after any match result, making the markets unresolvable and violating fundamental prediction market principles. The rules state 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Vancouver wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Portland wins... then the market resolves to Yes,' meaning every possible outcome triggers YES on all three markets.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.