TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. New York City FC
Volume:
$253,766
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a Major League Soccer (MLS) match between Vancouver Whitecaps FC and New York City FC scheduled for April 11, 2026. Markets track whether Vancouver wins, New York City wins, or the match ends in a draw, with resolution based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market structure contains a logical contradiction where all three mutually exclusive outcomes (Vancouver win, NYC win, tie) are stated to resolve to Yes on the same market. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as written.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market until clarification is obtained from Kalshi support. The resolution logic as stated is internally contradictory. Polymarket's three separate binary markets are logically sound and follow standard soccer betting conventions.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Single market with three outcome clauses, all resolving to Yes: 'If Vancouver wins... then Yes', 'If New York City wins... then Yes', 'If Tie wins... then Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility where all mutually exclusive outcomes cannot simultaneously resolve to Yes.
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: (1) Vancouver win = Yes/No, (2) NYC win = Yes/No, (3) Draw = Yes/No. Only one outcome resolves to Yes across the three markets. Includes postponement handling (market remains open) and cancellation handling (draw market resolves Yes, win markets resolve No).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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