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404,028

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5

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Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Minnesota United FC
kalshi
polymarket

Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Minnesota United FC

Volume:
$189,422

Vancouver

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 16, 2026

Closed: Mar 15, 7:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Vancouver

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$76,725
N/A
N/A
$43,204
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Vancouver Whitecaps FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$18,005
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Minnesota

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$42,754
N/A
N/A
$35,805
Settled
No
polymarket

Minnesota United FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,549
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Minnesota United FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,284
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,105
N/A
N/A
$16,451
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a single MLS match between Vancouver Whitecaps FC and Minnesota United FC scheduled for March 2026. Markets across platforms assess the outcome (win/loss/draw) within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Two critical divergences exist: (1) Scheduled date mismatch between platforms (March 14 vs March 15, 2026), and (2) Polymarket's draw market conflates a tied match outcome with a canceled match outcome, creating logical incoherence and unresolvable ambiguity.Hero tip: Do not trade these markets until the official MLS schedule confirms the correct date. Demand that Polymarket clarify or amend the draw market resolution logic—a cancellation should resolve NO, not YES. Cross-reference https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scores to establish ground truth before settlement.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Scheduled date is March 14, 2026. Three separate markets cover Minnesota win, Vancouver win, and draw outcomes. Critical flaw: draw market resolves YES if game ends in a draw OR if game is canceled with no make-up. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes.' This conflates two fundamentally different events.
  • Kalshi: Scheduled date is March 15, 2026. Three outcome markets (Vancouver win, Tie, Minnesota win) each resolve YES if their respective outcome occurs within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Quote: 'If Vancouver wins... then the market resolves to Yes' (same logic for Tie and Minnesota win).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.