TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Valparaiso Beacons vs. Drake Bulldogs (W)
Volume:
$346,546
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Valparaiso Beacons and Drake Bulldogs scheduled for March 12, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the winner of this single game.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market has a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Drake win and Valparaiso win) are stated to resolve to Yes, which is impossible in a binary Yes/No market structure and leaves the No resolution condition undefined.Hero Tip:
This is a critical data integrity failure on Kalshi. The market as described cannot function. Before trading, request clarification from Kalshi on whether: (1) this is a data entry error, (2) No resolution is tied only to cancellation/postponement, or (3) the market structure is fundamentally different than stated. Polymarket's binary structure is sound and resolvable.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Clean binary winner-take-all structure. Valparaiso win resolves to Valparaiso Beacons, Drake win resolves to Drake Bulldogs. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Logically contradictory structure. States If Drake wins resolves to Yes AND If Valparaiso wins resolves to Yes. Both possible game outcomes map to the same resolution (Yes), leaving No resolution undefined and making the binary market unresolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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