TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Valparaiso Beacons vs. Drake Bulldogs (W)
polymarket
kalshi

Valparaiso Beacons vs. Drake Bulldogs (W)

Volume:
$346,546

Drake

 - Kalshi

Drake - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 18, 2026

Closed: Mar 13, 12:30 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Drake

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$64,298
N/A
N/A
$60,653
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Valparaiso

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$282,248
N/A
N/A
$232,673
Settled
No
polymarket

Valparaiso Beacons vs. Drake Bulldogs (W)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Valparaiso Beacons and Drake Bulldogs scheduled for March 12, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the winner of this single game.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market has a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Drake win and Valparaiso win) are stated to resolve to Yes, which is impossible in a binary Yes/No market structure and leaves the No resolution condition undefined.Hero tip: This is a critical data integrity failure on Kalshi. The market as described cannot function. Before trading, request clarification from Kalshi on whether: (1) this is a data entry error, (2) No resolution is tied only to cancellation/postponement, or (3) the market structure is fundamentally different than stated. Polymarket's binary structure is sound and resolvable.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Clean binary winner-take-all structure. Valparaiso win resolves to Valparaiso Beacons, Drake win resolves to Drake Bulldogs. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
  • Kalshi: Logically contradictory structure. States If Drake wins resolves to Yes AND If Valparaiso wins resolves to Yes. Both possible game outcomes map to the same resolution (Yes), leaving No resolution undefined and making the binary market unresolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.