TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Valparaiso Beacons vs. Belmont Bruins (W)
Volume:
$159,598
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Valparaiso Beacons and Belmont Bruins scheduled for February 15, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET at Belmont's venue. Markets across platforms are betting on which team will win the matchup.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's binary Yes/Yes resolution logic is logically contradictory and unresolvable as a competitive prediction market. Polymarket's categorical structure is standard and sound. The platforms cannot be reconciled without clarification from Kalshi.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's version of this market until the resolution logic is corrected. The current structure (both outcomes = Yes) violates basic prediction market design. Polymarket's market is safe to trade. If forced to settle Kalshi, demand manual review and potential 50-50 split or cancellation.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Binary Yes/No structure with contradictory logic: 'If Belmont wins... resolves to Yes. If Valparaiso wins... resolves to Yes.' Both possible outcomes map to the same resolution value (Yes), making the market non-competitive and unresolvable.
- Polymarket: Categorical outcome structure: 'If Valparaiso wins, resolves to Valparairo Beacons. If Belmont wins, resolves to Belmont Bruins.' Outcomes are mutually exclusive and map to distinct resolution values. Includes postponement and cancellation rules (50-50 split if canceled with no makeup).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.