TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omega
Volume:
$288,798
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a best-of-three Valorant match between XLG Gaming and Wolves Esports in the VCT China Group Omega, scheduled for April 12, 2026 at 7:00 AM EDT. Markets span match winner, individual map winners (Map 1 and Map 2), map handicap (-1.5/+1.5), and total maps played (Over/Under 2.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market resolves to YES for both possible match outcomes (either team winning), making it logically contradictory and unresolvable. Polymarket correctly resolves to the match winner or 50-50 based on standard sports settlement rules. This is a fundamental data integrity failure on Kalshi's platform.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's market. It contains a logical contradiction that guarantees an incorrect settlement regardless of the match result. Polymarket's markets are tradeable and follow standard esports resolution logic. If you hold Kalshi positions, seek clarification or withdrawal before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's market states 'If Wolves Esports wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If XLG Gaming wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' This means the market resolves YES for all possible match outcomes, creating a logical contradiction. The market is unresolvable as written.
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard esports settlement: Polymarket resolves to the match winner (XLG Gaming or Wolves Esports), with 50-50 fallback for cancellation, tie, delay beyond 7 days, or pre-match forfeits. The market has clear binary outcomes and is resolvable. Polymarket also provides five additional derivative markets (Map 1 Winner, Map 2 Winner, Games Total O/U 2.5, and two Map Handicap variants) with consistent resolution logic tied to vlr.gg.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.