TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omega
kalshi
polymarket

Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omega

Volume:
$288,798

Match Winner

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 12, 2026

Closed: Apr 12, 1:40 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$173,104
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Wolves Esports

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40,351
N/A
N/A
$26,065
Settled
No
kalshi

XLG Gaming

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$35,850
N/A
N/A
$27,221
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$12,020
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,294
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,711
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map Handicap: WOL (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$237
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map Handicap: XLG (-1.5) vs Wolves Esports (+1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$232
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Description

This event group covers a best-of-three Valorant match between XLG Gaming and Wolves Esports in the VCT China Group Omega, scheduled for April 12, 2026 at 7:00 AM EDT. Markets span match winner, individual map winners (Map 1 and Map 2), map handicap (-1.5/+1.5), and total maps played (Over/Under 2.5).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market resolves to YES for both possible match outcomes (either team winning), making it logically contradictory and unresolvable. Polymarket correctly resolves to the match winner or 50-50 based on standard sports settlement rules. This is a fundamental data integrity failure on Kalshi's platform.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi's market. It contains a logical contradiction that guarantees an incorrect settlement regardless of the match result. Polymarket's markets are tradeable and follow standard esports resolution logic. If you hold Kalshi positions, seek clarification or withdrawal before settlement.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's market states 'If Wolves Esports wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If XLG Gaming wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' This means the market resolves YES for all possible match outcomes, creating a logical contradiction. The market is unresolvable as written.
  • Polymarket: Aligned with standard esports settlement: Polymarket resolves to the match winner (XLG Gaming or Wolves Esports), with 50-50 fallback for cancellation, tie, delay beyond 7 days, or pre-match forfeits. The market has clear binary outcomes and is resolvable. Polymarket also provides five additional derivative markets (Map 1 Winner, Map 2 Winner, Games Total O/U 2.5, and two Map Handicap variants) with consistent resolution logic tied to vlr.gg.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.