Valorant: TEC Esports vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Group Alpha
Volume:
$185,686
Markets
Outcome
Chance %
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24h
7d
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Description
This event group covers a best-of-three Valorant match between TEC Esports and All Gamers in the VCT China Group Alpha, scheduled for March 31, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. Markets span individual map winners, series outcome, total maps played, and map handicaps across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.
Kalshi markets contain a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (All Gamers win OR TEC Esports win) resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as stated. Polymarket markets are well-formed with clear binary outcomes. This is a data integrity failure on the Kalshi platform.
Hero Tip:
Do not arbitrage or cross-trade between Kalshi and Polymarket on this event group until Kalshi corrects its market language. The Kalshi markets as written will always resolve Yes, creating a guaranteed profit opportunity if Polymarket prices either outcome above 50 cents. Escalate to Kalshi support for clarification before any settlement.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Seven distinct markets with clear binary or categorical outcomes: Map 1 Winner (TEC or AG), Map 2 Winner (TEC or AG), Games Total O/U 2.5 (Over if 3+ maps, Under if fewer), Map Handicap AG -1.5 (AG if wins 2+ more maps, else TEC), Series Winner (TEC or AG), Map Handicap TEC -1.5 (TEC if wins 2+ more maps, else AG). All reference vlr.gg as primary source with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting. Cancellation, delay beyond 7 days, or incomplete matches resolve 50-50 for map markets; series market resolves 50-50 only if canceled, tied, or delayed 7+ days without play beginning.
Kalshi: Two markets both state: 'If All Gamers wins... then resolves to Yes' AND 'If TEC Esports wins... then resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical tautology where every possible outcome resolves to Yes, making the market unresolvable as a binary prediction. No resolution source, edge case handling, or tie-breaking logic is provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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