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Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs SaD Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stage
kalshi
polymarket

Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs SaD Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stage

Volume:
$70,835

SaD Esports

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 31, 2026

Closed: Mar 30, 8:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

SaD Esports

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15,061
N/A
N/A
$13,151
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29,140
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map Handicap: SaD (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (+1.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,422
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Shopify Rebellion GC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,756
N/A
N/A
$14,604
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,731
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,374
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$351
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This market refers to the Valorant Round 3 match between Shopify Rebellion Gold and SaD Esports in the VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stage, initially scheduled for March 30 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion Gold" if Shopify Rebellion Gold win the match against SaD Esports. This market will resolve to "SaD Esports" if SaD Esports win the match against Shopify Rebellion Gold. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's match winner market resolves YES for either outcome (both teams winning), creating logical ambiguity, while Polymarket's markets use standard binary resolution with clear winner/loser outcomes and consistent tie/cancellation rules across all markets.Hero tip: Avoid betting on Kalshi's match winner market due to its logical flaw—it resolves YES regardless of who wins, making it unhedgeable. Polymarket's markets are standard and resolvable; focus trading activity there.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: The match winner market states 'If Shopify Rebellion GC wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If SaD Esports wins...then the market resolves to Yes,' meaning both outcomes resolve YES. This creates a logical contradiction that makes the market unresolvable as a binary prediction instrument.
  • Polymarket: Aligned with standard binary logic: Provides five distinct markets (match winner, Map 1 winner, Map 2 winner, Games Total O/U 2.5, and Map Handicap) each with clear binary or ternary outcomes. Match winner resolves to 'Shopify Rebellion Gold' if they win, 'SaD Esports' if they win, or 50-50 if canceled/forfeited/delayed beyond 7 days. All markets share consistent source (vlr.gg) and identical tie/cancellation rules.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.