TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs SaD Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stage
Description
This market refers to the Valorant Round 3 match between Shopify Rebellion Gold and SaD Esports in the VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stage, initially scheduled for March 30 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion Gold" if Shopify Rebellion Gold win the match against SaD Esports. This market will resolve to "SaD Esports" if SaD Esports win the match against Shopify Rebellion Gold. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's match winner market resolves YES for either outcome (both teams winning), creating logical ambiguity, while Polymarket's markets use standard binary resolution with clear winner/loser outcomes and consistent tie/cancellation rules across all markets.Hero Tip:
Avoid betting on Kalshi's match winner market due to its logical flaw—it resolves YES regardless of who wins, making it unhedgeable. Polymarket's markets are standard and resolvable; focus trading activity there.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: The match winner market states 'If Shopify Rebellion GC wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If SaD Esports wins...then the market resolves to Yes,' meaning both outcomes resolve YES. This creates a logical contradiction that makes the market unresolvable as a binary prediction instrument.
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard binary logic: Provides five distinct markets (match winner, Map 1 winner, Map 2 winner, Games Total O/U 2.5, and Map Handicap) each with clear binary or ternary outcomes. Match winner resolves to 'Shopify Rebellion Gold' if they win, 'SaD Esports' if they win, or 50-50 if canceled/forfeited/delayed beyond 7 days. All markets share consistent source (vlr.gg) and identical tie/cancellation rules.
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