TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Valorant: Nova Esports vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omega
kalshi
polymarket

Valorant: Nova Esports vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omega

Volume:
$84,922

Trace Esports

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 10, 2026

Closed: Apr 10, 9:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Trace Esports

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,456
N/A
N/A
$4,116
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,687
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map Handicap: TE (-1.5) vs Nova Esports (+1.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,691
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,990
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,440
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Nova Esports

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,663
N/A
N/A
$3,285
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,996
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This market resolves based on the outcome of a best-of-three (BO3) Valorant match between Nova Esports and Trace Esports scheduled for April 10, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT as part of VCT China Group Omega. The market will resolve to Yes if either team wins the match, making it a binary event with universal coverage regardless of which competitor prevails.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi and Polymarket resolve on fundamentally different events. Kalshi resolves on whether either team wins the match (a tautology that always resolves YES), while Polymarket resolves on specific match outcomes (Games Total, Map Winners, Match Winner, Map Handicap). Kalshi's market is logically incoherent and unresolvable as written.Hero tip: Do not trade on Kalshi's market — it contains a logical contradiction that makes it unresolvable. Both resolution conditions (Trace wins OR Nova wins) cover all possible outcomes, guaranteeing a YES resolution regardless of the actual match result. Polymarket's markets are resolvable and should be your primary reference for this matchup.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's market resolves YES if 'Trace Esports wins the match' OR 'Nova Esports wins the match.' Since one team must win (or the match is canceled/tied), this creates a logical tautology where YES is guaranteed for any completed match outcome. The market lacks a NO resolution path for normal match completion, making it fundamentally incoherent and unresolvable.
  • Polymarket: Aligned with standard sports betting logic: Polymarket offers five distinct, resolvable markets (Games Total O/U 2.5, Map 1 Winner, Map 2 Winner, Match Winner, Map Handicap) each with clear YES/NO or binary outcomes tied to specific match results. All markets reference vlr.gg as the official source and include consistent edge-case handling for cancellations, delays beyond 7 days, and incomplete matches.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.