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405,232

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2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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VS.

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61%

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Valorant: Nova Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omega
kalshi
polymarket

Valorant: Nova Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omega

Volume:
$62,112

EDward Gaming

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 31, 2026

Closed: Mar 31, 11:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

EDward Gaming

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,482
N/A
N/A
$9,324
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31,624
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Nova Esports (+1.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,960
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,267
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Nova Esports

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,619
N/A
N/A
$5,352
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,819
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$341
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This market refers to the Valorant match between Nova Esports and EDward Gaming in the VCT China Group Omega, initially scheduled for March 31 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nova Esports" if Nova Esports win the match against EDward Gaming. This market will resolve to "EDward Gaming" if EDward Gaming win the match against Nova Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi resolves on a binary outcome (match winner only, with both teams triggering YES), while Polymarket offers three distinct markets with different resolution criteria: match winner, map handicap, and individual map outcomes. Kalshi's logic is fundamentally incompatible with Polymarket's granular market structure.Hero tip: Kalshi's market resolves YES regardless of which team wins the match, making it a certainty bet on match completion rather than a directional bet. Polymarket's markets are directional: bet on Nova Esports or EDward Gaming to win, or on specific map outcomes. Do not treat Kalshi as a hedge for Polymarket positions.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's single market resolves YES if either Nova Esports OR EDward Gaming wins the match, with no differentiation between outcomes. The market states 'If Nova Esports wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If EDward Gaming wins... then the market resolves to Yes,' meaning the market is a binary bet on match completion, not on a specific team outcome.
  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers four separate directional markets: (1) Match Winner (Nova Esports vs EDward Gaming), (2) Map Handicap (EDG -1.5 vs Nova +1.5), (3) Map 1 Winner, (4) Map 2 Winner, and (5) Games Total O/U 2.5. Each market resolves to a specific team or outcome based on match results, not on match completion alone. For example, 'This market will resolve to Nova Esports if Nova Esports win the match' and 'This market will resolve to EDward Gaming if EDward Gaming win the match.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.