TOTAL VOLUME:

$54.4b

24H VOL:

$224,446,576

24H TRANSACTIONS:

531,611,392

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,198,377,813

501,416

Markets across

13,642

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,816

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

51%

VS.

Kalshi:

49%

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Valorant: Misa Esports vs Galatasaray Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Playoffs

Volume:
$29,944
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade

Description

This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Misa Esports and Galatasaray Esports in the VCL Türkiye: Birlik Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 25 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Misa Esports" if Misa Esports win the match against Galatasaray Esports. This market will resolve to "Galatasaray Esports" if Galatasaray Esports win the match against Misa Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue:

Kalshi market is logically incoherent: it resolves YES if either team wins, making it impossible to resolve NO. This creates a fundamental data integrity failure that contradicts standard binary market logic.

Hero Tip:

Do not trade the Kalshi market. It is unresolvable as written. On Polymarket, all five markets have coherent binary or multi-outcome logic with clear resolution paths. Bet only on Polymarket for this event group.

Critical Divergence Points:

  • Polymarket: Five distinct, logically coherent markets: (1) Match Winner (Misa vs Galatasaray, binary), (2) Map 1 Winner (binary), (3) Map 2 Winner (binary), (4) Games Total O/U 2.5 (binary), (5) Map Handicap MISA -1.5 (binary). Each has clear YES/NO outcomes, unified cancellation/forfeit rules (resolve 50-50 if match not completed, canceled, or delayed >7 days), and official VLR.gg as primary source with credible reporting fallback. Quote: 'This market will resolve to Misa Esports if Misa Esports win the match... This market will resolve to Galatasaray Esports if Galatasaray Esports win the match.'
  • Kalshi: Single market with contradictory resolution logic: 'If Misa Esports wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Galatasaray Esports wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' Both outcomes map to YES, leaving no path to NO resolution. No cancellation, forfeit, or edge-case rules provided. Quote: 'If Misa Esports wins... resolves to Yes. If Galatasaray Esports wins... resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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