TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Valorant: MIBR vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffs
Volume:
$694,322
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Best-of-5 Valorant match between MIBR and FURIA Esports in the VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffs scheduled for February 13, 2026. Markets span match winner, individual map winners, map handicaps, and series length outcomes across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi match-winner market contains a logical contradiction where both MIBR victory and FURIA victory resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Additionally, source fragmentation (Liquipedia vs VLR.gg) and timing inconsistency (6:00 PM ET vs 6:30 PM ET for Map 4) create settlement ambiguity across platforms.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi match-winner market. For Polymarket markets, use Liquipedia as the primary source for match winner and maps 1-3, and VLR.gg for Map 4. Verify the scheduled start time (6:00 PM ET vs 6:30 PM ET discrepancy) with official VCT announcements before the event. If the match is delayed, apply the 7-day grace period rule uniformly across all platforms.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Match-winner market states: 'If MIBR wins...then resolves to Yes' AND 'If FURIA Esports wins...then resolves to Yes.' Both outcomes map to identical resolution (Yes), creating a logical impossibility. No clear No resolution path is defined.
- Polymarket: Match-winner market provides clear binary logic: resolves to MIBR if MIBR wins, resolves to FURIA Esports if FURIA wins. Tie/cancellation/delay >7 days defaults to 50-50. Forfeit/disqualification before match start also defaults to 50-50.
- Source Fragmentation: Polymarket maps 1-3 and match winner reference Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/valorant/Main_Page). Map 4 and Map Handicap (FUR -1.5) reference VLR.gg (https://vlr.gg). Inconsistent sources may report results at different times or with minor discrepancies.
- Timing Inconsistency: Maps 1-3 and match winner scheduled for 6:00 PM ET. Map 4 scheduled for 6:30 PM ET. This 30-minute discrepancy may indicate staggered market opening or data entry error.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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