TOTAL VOLUME:

$54.4b

24H VOL:

$218,201,443

24H TRANSACTIONS:

527,797,601

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,191,873,651

500,842

Markets across

13,663

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,809

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

51%

VS.

Kalshi:

49%

BETA
Dashboards
kalshi
polymarket
Trending

Valorant: Galatasaray Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Group B

Volume:
$117,311
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade

Description

This market resolves based on the outcome of a best-of-three (BO3) Valorant match between Fire Flux Esports and Galatasaray Esports in the VCL Türkiye: Birlik Group B tournament, originally scheduled for April 13, 2026 at 1:30 PM EDT. The market determines which team wins the series by capturing 2 maps first.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue:

Kalshi's market resolves to Yes for both possible outcomes (either team winning), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly resolves to the match winner or 50-50 based on cancellation/delay/forfeit conditions.

Hero Tip:

Avoid betting on Kalshi's market—it contains a fatal logical flaw where both 'Fire Flux wins' and 'Galatasaray wins' resolve to Yes, violating basic binary market principles. Polymarket's markets are resolvable and follow standard sports betting logic.

Critical Divergence Points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Contains a critical logical contradiction. The market states 'If Fire Flux Esports wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Galatasaray Esports wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This means every possible outcome (either team winning) resolves to Yes, making the market unresolvable and unhedgeable.
  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Provides five separate, logically consistent markets with clear resolution paths. The main match market resolves to the winning team or 50-50 on cancellation/delay/forfeit. Map 1, Map 2, Over/Under 2.5, and Handicap markets each have well-defined conditions tied to match completion and official vlr.gg reporting.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Follow the signals, not the noise

Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.

Company

Brand Kit

API & Data Licensing

Methodology

Help Center

Contact

PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.