TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$129,159,707

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,442,132,418

404,744

Markets across

30,489

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,691

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Valorant: Galatasaray Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Group B
kalshi
polymarket

Valorant: Galatasaray Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Group B

Volume:
$117,311

Match Winner

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 14, 2026

Closed: Apr 13, 7:30 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$60,455
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Galatasaray Esports

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,750
N/A
N/A
$8,697
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$787
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$224
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29,453
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Fire Flux Esports

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,218
N/A
N/A
$6,707
Settled
No
polymarket

Map Handicap: GS (-1.5) vs Fire Flux Esports (+1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,424
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This market resolves based on the outcome of a best-of-three (BO3) Valorant match between Fire Flux Esports and Galatasaray Esports in the VCL Türkiye: Birlik Group B tournament, originally scheduled for April 13, 2026 at 1:30 PM EDT. The market determines which team wins the series by capturing 2 maps first.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market resolves to Yes for both possible outcomes (either team winning), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly resolves to the match winner or 50-50 based on cancellation/delay/forfeit conditions.Hero tip: Avoid betting on Kalshi's market—it contains a fatal logical flaw where both 'Fire Flux wins' and 'Galatasaray wins' resolve to Yes, violating basic binary market principles. Polymarket's markets are resolvable and follow standard sports betting logic.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Contains a critical logical contradiction. The market states 'If Fire Flux Esports wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Galatasaray Esports wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This means every possible outcome (either team winning) resolves to Yes, making the market unresolvable and unhedgeable.
  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Provides five separate, logically consistent markets with clear resolution paths. The main match market resolves to the winning team or 50-50 on cancellation/delay/forfeit. Map 1, Map 2, Over/Under 2.5, and Handicap markets each have well-defined conditions tied to match completion and official vlr.gg reporting.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.