TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Valorant: Chivas Esports vs Contra (BO3) - VCL Latin America North Playoffs
Volume:
$13,475
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Valorant Lower bracket semifinal match between Chivas Esports and Contra in the VCL Latin America North Playoffs, scheduled for March 21, 2026. Markets span match winner, individual map winners (Map 1 and Map 2), map handicaps, and series length, with resolution tied to official vlr.gg reporting.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market references tournament-level outcome (VCL Latin America North 2026 winner), while Polymarket markets reference the specific match result. These are fundamentally different resolution events. Kalshi's logic is also internally ambiguous: both teams resolving to 'Yes' is logically impossible if the market is binary.Hero Tip:
Do not cross-hedge Kalshi and Polymarket positions assuming they resolve to the same outcome. Kalshi resolves on tournament victory; Polymarket resolves on match victory. Verify whether losing this match eliminates a team from tournament contention. If the loser is eliminated, Kalshi may never resolve (or resolve 50-50 if the tournament is canceled). If the loser advances, Kalshi and Polymarket can diverge significantly.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Market scope is tournament-level outcome. Resolution logic states: 'If Chivas Esports wins the VCL Latin America North 2026... then Yes. If Contra wins the VCL Latin America North 2026... then Yes.' This is logically contradictory (both outcomes cannot resolve to Yes in a binary market) and scope-divergent (references tournament victory, not match result). No explicit match-result resolution criteria provided.
- Polymarket: Market scope is match-level outcome. Resolution logic is explicit: 'This market will resolve to Chivas Esports if Chivas Esports win the match against Contra. This market will resolve to Contra if Contra win the match against Chivas Esports.' Tied to official vlr.gg reporting with 2-hour fallback to credible consensus. Clear edge-case handling for cancellation, delay, and forfeiture.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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