TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Valorant: Azure Dragon Gaming vs YFP Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stage
Description
This market refers to the Valorant Round 4 match between Azure Dragon Gaming and YFP Gaming in the VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stage, initially scheduled for April 7 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Azure Dragon Gaming" if Azure Dragon Gaming win the match against YFP Gaming. This market will resolve to "YFP Gaming" if YFP Gaming win the match against Azure Dragon Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket defines a complete match resolution framework with detailed tie/cancellation/forfeit rules across 5 distinct markets (Match Winner, Map 1, Map 2, Games Total O/U 2.5, Map Handicap), while Kalshi provides only a single binary market with no resolution logic, no tie-breaking rules, no forfeit handling, and no source specification. The Kalshi market is fundamentally unresolvable as written.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market until its resolution criteria are clarified. If you hold positions on Kalshi, the lack of explicit resolution logic creates extreme settlement risk. Polymarket's markets are tradeable; Kalshi's is not. Assume Kalshi will eventually adopt Polymarket's logic or be voided.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Outlier: Polymarket provides comprehensive resolution rules across 5 linked markets with explicit handling of cancellations, forfeits, walkovers, ties, delays beyond 7 days, incomplete matches, and name-matching discretion. All markets cite vlr.gg as primary source with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting. Specific examples: 'If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50' and 'Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the total, provided that the match is completed.'
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi provides a single binary market ('If YFP Gaming wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Azure Dragon Gaming wins...then the market resolves to Yes.') with zero resolution logic for edge cases, no source specification, no handling of cancellations/forfeits/ties/delays, and a logical contradiction (both outcomes resolve to Yes, making a No resolution impossible). No tie-breaking or dispute resolution mechanism is defined.
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