TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Valencia vs. Zalgiris Kaunas
Volume:
$79,515
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single professional Euroleague basketball game between Valencia Basket and BC Zalgiris Kaunas scheduled for March 5, 2026 at 2:30 PM EST. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement or cancellation.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Zalgiris win and Valencia win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), rendering the market unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard binary logic with coherent outcome mapping.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi until the market terms are clarified. The stated logic is internally contradictory and cannot distinguish between the two teams winning. Use Polymarket as your primary reference for this matchup, as its resolution criteria are logically sound.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Both outcomes resolve to Yes: 'If BC Zalgiris Kaunas wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Valencia Basket wins...resolves to Yes'. This is a logical impossibility for a binary market. Key quote: both conditions map to identical resolution.
- Polymarket: Standard binary resolution: Valencia win resolves to Valencia, Zalgiris win resolves to Zalgiris Kaunas. Postponement keeps market open, cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Key quote: 'If the Valencia win, the market will resolve to Valencia. If the Zalgiris Kaunas win, the market will resolve to Zalgiris Kaunas.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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