TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Valencia vs. Panathinaikos
Volume:
$376,974
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market resolves based on the outcome of the Euroleague basketball game between Valencia and Panathinaikos scheduled for April 9 at 2:45 PM ET. The winner of the game determines the market resolution, with specific provisions for postponement and cancellation scenarios.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket resolves to a single winner (Valencia or Panathinaikos), while Kalshi resolves to YES for either team winning, creating a logical contradiction where Kalshi's market cannot distinguish between outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's market as written—it resolves YES regardless of which team wins, making it unresolvable as a binary prediction. Polymarket is the only coherent market in this group. Seek clarification from Kalshi before placing any bets.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Outlier: Polymarket resolves to exactly one named winner—either 'Valencia' or 'Panathinaikos'—creating a true binary outcome. Key quote: 'If the Valencia win, the market will resolve to Valencia. If the Panathinaikos win, the market will resolve to Panathinaikos.'
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi resolves to YES if Valencia wins OR if Panathinaikos wins, meaning both possible game outcomes trigger a YES resolution, leaving no NO outcome. Key quote: 'If Valencia Basket wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Panathinaikos BC wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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