TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Valencia vs. Olympiacos B.C.
Volume:
$1,069,792
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming Euroleague basketball game, scheduled for March 24 at 3:30PM ET: If the Valencia win, the market will resolve to "Valencia". If the Olympiacos B.C. win, the market will resolve to "Olympiacos B.C.". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi resolves YES if either team wins (both outcomes trigger YES), while Polymarket resolves to the winning team's name (Valencia or Olympiacos B.C.). Kalshi's market structure is logically incoherent, whereas Polymarket uses standard binary resolution.Hero Tip:
Avoid betting on Kalshi's market—it resolves YES regardless of outcome, making it unsuitable for directional trading. Use Polymarket for a proper winner-prediction market. If you hold Kalshi YES, you will profit regardless of the game result, but this represents a market design flaw, not a trading opportunity.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Resolves YES if BC Olympiakos Piraeus wins OR if Valencia Basket wins. The market states 'If BC Olympiakos Piraeus wins...then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If Valencia Basket wins...then the market resolves to Yes,' meaning both possible outcomes trigger YES resolution.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Resolves to 'Valencia' if Valencia wins or 'Olympiacos B.C.' if Olympiacos wins, with a 50-50 split only if the game is canceled entirely. The market explicitly states 'If the Valencia win, the market will resolve to Valencia' and 'If the Olympiacos B.C. win, the market will resolve to Olympiacos B.C.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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