TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Valencia vs. Olimpia Milano
Volume:
$223,982
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A Euroleague basketball game between Valencia Basket and Olimpia Milano scheduled for April 7, 2026 at 2:30 PM EDT. The event group aggregates prediction markets from Polymarket and Kalshi that resolve based on which team wins the match.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Olimpia Milano win OR Valencia win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. This is a data integrity failure that violates basic binary event logic.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading the Kalshi market until corrected. The Polymarket version is the only reliably resolvable contract in this group. Kalshi's market terms must be amended to specify a clear Yes/No condition tied to one team only.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Clean binary resolution: Valencia win resolves to 'Valencia', Olimpia Milano win resolves to 'Olimpia Milano'. Postponement extends market; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Source: Euroleague Basketball official site.
- Kalshi: Contradictory logic: states 'If Olimpia Milano wins... resolves to Yes' AND separately 'If Valencia Basket wins... resolves to Yes'. Both outcomes cannot resolve to the same Yes result in a binary event. No fallback for postponement or cancellation specified.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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