TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo - More Markets
Volume:
$280,756
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market group covers Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo in La Liga on April 5, 2026 (10:15 AM ET). Markets span spread betting (goal-margin outcomes for both teams at -1.5 and -2.5 thresholds), total goals over/under (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, and 4.5 combined goals), and both-teams-to-score. All markets resolve on the official final score within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no extra time or penalties counted.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi use different market structures and thresholds for spread markets. Polymarket offers spread markets with explicit YES/NO outcomes tied to specific goal margins (-1.5, -2.5 for each team), while Kalshi uses a binary YES/NO structure where YES resolves if either team wins by more than the specified margin. This creates different outcome spaces and settlement logic.Hero Tip:
If you trade spread markets on Polymarket, you are betting on a specific team and margin outcome. On Kalshi, the same margin markets resolve YES if EITHER team achieves that margin, making them functionally different bets. Ensure you understand which platform's structure matches your intended directional bet before trading.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket structures spread markets as team-specific outcomes. For example, 'Spread: Valencia CF (-1.5)' resolves YES only if Valencia wins by 2+ goals, and NO otherwise (including if Celta wins by any margin). Each spread is a separate market tied to one team. Over/Under and Both Teams to Score markets use combined goal totals as the resolution basis. Primary source is laliga.com official final score within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi structures spread markets as margin-based binary outcomes where YES resolves if either team wins by more than the specified margin. For instance, 'If Valencia wins by more than 1.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes' and separately 'If Celta Vigo wins by more than 1.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes.' This means a single Kalshi market can resolve YES for two different team outcomes, whereas Polymarket requires separate markets for each team-margin combination. Resolution is based on the official La Liga result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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